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Florida Week; Day 3
Coming to you live from OFO
Posted: Tuesday, September 12th, 2006, 9:24 AM
by Beano
• Permalink
As the critical all-consuming game with the Gators draws nearer I begin to picture in my mind the type of game it will take for the Vols to be victorious. The answers I come up with are straight out of "Coach-Speak for Dummies” but that is the type of game it has become. Since 2000 three of six games have been decided by less than a touchdown. There were only three such games in the entire decade of the nineties. It seems to be much more old-school since the Old Ball Coach went into exile in Washington and later was paroled to Columbia. One big mistake (like the Vols forgetting to practice special teams prior to departing for Gainesville last season) or one big play (James Banks jump ball catch in 03) seems to determine the outcome.

With that in mind these are my keys to victory for both Tennessee and Florida interchangeably. If they seem over-simplified remember Basilio wanted to name the show B&S in the Midday (Basilio and Simpleton).

The team that has rushed for the most yards has won 14 of the last 16 games. During that stretch the Vols have NEVER won the game when rushing for less yards (Gators won in 2000 and 2002) At this point the Gators appear to have the edge averaging almost 30 yards more per game on the ground than the Vols (173.5-147.5)

A sudden change of possession or a short field score will probably be enough to lose what I fully expect to be an evenly-played contest. The Vols special team gaffes proved to be the difference last season. Both teams have struggled to this point in the season with a -1 turnover ratio.

Both quarterbacks are off to very good starts each averaging over 300 total yards/game (Ainge-305; Leak-302) and have managed their teams almost flawlessly. Neither however has had to throw under duress. Whichever team can get to the QB the most will stand a great chance to win. To this point in the season the Vol O-Line has yet to allow a sack while the Gator front has surrendered two.

The Vols staff made an interesting decision by moving Jonathan Hefney to Left Cornerback to replace the injured Inky Johnson and putting Demetrice Morley at Free Safety. Most of the time you would prefer to make only one adjustment but both players have proven their versatility. As expected in the D-Line Turk McBride will move inside and Xavier Mitchell (bless you Xavier for being in the right place at the right time Saturday night) will take over at Left End.

Get on with us today and let us know what your keys to victory are for Saturday. We will be coming to you live from Office Furniture Outfitters and will be joined by Jim Donnan in the first segment. Donnan is doing a super job as an ESPN analyst and I look forward to getting his take on what is arguably the best lineup of games of the season. Florida @ Tennessee; LSU @ Auburn; Michigan @ Notre Dame; Miami @ Louisville; Clemson @ Florida State; Nebraska @ USC; and Oklahoma @ Oregon. The lineup is so good that interesting contests such as Iowa St @ Iowa and Texas Tech @ TCU are relegated to honorable mention. Also Chris Low will join for his regular Tuesday segment and we’ll get his take on the players resolve after losing two fine teammates for the season. What a blessed time of year it is. Let’s enjoy the buildup, heck let’s be an active part in it. Tune us in and give us a call.

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